Bitcoin crosses its worst average week in the year below USD $ 113,000

By Hannah Pérez

The cryptocurrency badly faces a historically weak week while the operators await the comments of Jerome Powell and key inflation data.

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Week 38 is historically the third worst for Bitcoin, with an average drop of 2.25%.
Bitcoin quotes near USD $ 113,000, with a loss of 2.8% in the last seven days.
Despite the Pédidas, it is contrary to its seasonal bassist tendency with an increase of 4% so far this month.
The operators are attentive to the comments of the president of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell.
Powell comments and the PCE inflation data that could define the course of cryptocurrencies in October.

Bitcoin (BTC) is going through one of its worst weeks in the year in line with the bad historical streak.

Week 38 of the year has historically been the third week with the worst performance to Bitcoinwith an average yield of -2.25%, only exceeded by week 28 (-2.78%) and week 14 (-3.91%), according to data from Coinglass collected by COINDESK.

This week does not seem to be the exception, since Bitcoin has lost 3% in the last 7 daysquoting below USD $ 113,000, according to data from Coingckoand is 9% below its historical maximum of USD $ 124,000 registered in August.

Evolution in the price of BTC between September 16 and 23, 2025. Source: Coingcko

Despite this weekly performance, September 2025 is breaking the historical bassist trend of the month, which averages a 3.15% drop since 2013, with losses recorded in eight of the last thirteen septiembres. This year, Bitcoin has won 4% so far this month and 6% in the quarter, which could suggest a positive panorama despite seasonal weakness.

Factors that weigh on Bitcoin

The cryptocurrency market has shown cooling signs after the recent rate of 25 basic points by the Federal Reserve of the United States (FED) last week. Since then, Bitcoin It has been moving laterally in the graphics, primarily on the bearish side, between USD $ 111,933 and USD $ 117,851.

Now, the operators are attentive to the first comments of the president of the FED, Jerome Powell, scheduled for this Tuesday at Rhode Island, as well as the inflation data of the Personal Consumer Expenses Price Index (PCE) that will be published on Friday, September 26. These events could mark the guideline for the cryptocurrency market until October, especially after one of the largest leverage liquidations of the year, with more than USD $ 1.7 billion in liquidations on Monday, as highlighted The Block.

Analysts of Bitfinexcited by that means, indicate that the level of USD $ 115,200 is key for Bitcoin Keep your bullish impulse and can approach your historical maximum. However, a daily break below this level could lead to the USD $ 105,500– $ 115,000. For its part, QCP Capital It emphasizes that the demand for options for October is concentrated in the USD $ 120,000 – $ 125,000 levels, indicating that operators anticipate possible uprising catalysts in next month.

Market cooling signals

The speculative enthusiasm in the market Bitcoin It has been reduced, with the financing rates of perpetual futures falling to 4%, one of the lowest levels in a month, according to COINDESK. This suggests a lower demand for leisurely long positions, which reflects a market cooling.

In addition, the implicit volatility (IV), which measures the expectations of future price movements, is close to historical minimums in 37, which reinforces the perception of temporal stability.

Meanwhile, other assets are capturing market attention. Gold has risen more than 42% so far from 2025, significantly exceeding the 20% bitcoin y Bitcoin in the short term.

Short -term whales and perspectives

Despite yesterday’s massive event, there are signs of accumulation by large investors.

Timothy misir of Brncited by The Blocknotes that wallets with balances between 10 and 10,000 BTC have accumulated approximately 56,000 BTC since August 27, while balances in Exchange They have decreased by 31,000 BTC in the last four weeks. This suggests that “whales“They are buying in falls, which could be a positive sign for the market.

However, capital flows show caution. The funds quoted in the stock market (ETF) of Bitcoin in cash in the US Ether They experienced USD $ 76 million outings.

In spite of this, Misir points out that recent liquidation has cleaned excessive long positions, leaving a market with greater liquidity, which could be constructive if large buyers continue to absorb the offer, according to coverage.

What to expect? Ears in Powell

The operators are particularly attentive to Powell’s comments and the PCE inflation fact.

A favorable tone by the Fed and a moderate inflation fact could boost a rebound in the fourth quarter –historically bullish for the cryptocurrency market–providing an impulse of liquidity to the cryptocurrency market. On the contrary, a hardened message could keep Bitcoin Limited near USD $ 118,000, according to analysts.

With 14 remaining weeks in 2025, Bitcoin It could be entering a period of calm before possible volatility. Investors must closely monitor macroeconomic developments and market dynamics to anticipate the next movements.

Article written with the help of AI, edited by Diariobitcoin

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