“Bitcoin will be worth USD 2.4 million in 2030 in an upward case”: Ark Invest

The Ark Invest asset management company has drawn a bold future for Bitcoin (BTC), raising its price projection to 2.4 million dollars by 2030 on a bullish scenario.

In its report “Big Ideas 2025”, led by the CEO Cathie Wood, the firm details the factors that could promote this growthfrom institutional adoption to government support.

Even in a bearish scenario, the company anticipates that The price of the currency will quote in the next five yearswhich would mark a key moment for digital asset.

New estimates for Bitcoin

In the report, Ark Invest elevates its bullish projection to 2.4 million dollars for 203060% more than its January 2024 estimate, which placed the price at 1.5 million.

This projection implies a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 72% from December 2024 to the end of 2030.

On the other hand, The base scenario estimates a price of 1.2 million dollarswith a CAGR of 53%, while the bearish case projects $ 500,000, equivalent to a 32%CAGR.

These figures exceed 2024 projections, which They placed prices at $ 300,000 and $ 710,000 for bassist cases and base, respectively.

To elaborate these estimates, Ark Invest used an experimental model that considers the liquidity of Bitcoin, discounting lost or maintained coins in the long term.

“Our price objectives are the sum of the contributions of the total directable market (TAM) at the end of 2030,” said David Puell, a firm analyst. The estimate of the offer is based on the Bitcoin broadcast calendar, which will reach approximately 20.5 million units by 2030.

Bitcoin projected growth engines

The report identifies multiple factors that support the projected increase. First of all, Institutional investment stands out, especially through quoted funds (ETF) spot.

Ark Invest participates in this market with the ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB), which manages 52,604 BTC, valued in USD 5,000 million, as indicated by its website.

In addition, the report underlines the consolidation of Bitcoin as “digital gold”, a more agile and transparent value reserve than gold. This perception attracts emerging market investors seeking inflation protection and the devaluation of local currencies.

Also, government support emerges as a key factor. Countries such as El Salvador and Bután lead the adoption of Bitcoin as a strategic reserve, while, in the United States, President Donald Trump issued an executive order in March 2025 to establish a National Bitcoin reserve, as reported by cryptootics.

“We believe that the United States could reinforce the justification of the 7% penetration rate assumed in our upward scenario,” says the report.

Finally, corporate treasury contribute to impulse. Inspired by Strategy, who since 2020 has accumulated Bitcoin and is currently the public company with the largest amount of BTC in its portfolio, Other companies diversify their cash reserves with the currency, integrating it into their financial strategies.

Unique properties that reinforce its value

To the adoption factors are added the intrinsic characteristics of Bitcoin that make it a long -term solid value reserve. The digital currency has a limited supply that will never exceed 21 million BTC, which guarantees its shortage and differentiates it from traditional currencies subject to inflation.

In addition, Bitcoin too It stands out for its ability to resist censorship and be immune to confiscations, which makes it an attractive option during crisis. In scenarios where governments have seized citizens money to solve public debts, Bitcoin is presented as a reliable solution to protect goods.

On the other hand, Bitcoin provides discretion to its users. Although it is not completely anonymous, those who wish to maintain the privacy of their funds can achieve it by taking the appropriate measures, which adds an additional level of attraction for investors.

An experimental model with aggressive vision

Ark Invest clarifies that the estimates of its model experimental are more aggressive than those of traditional scenarios.

“It is important to highlight that the estimates made with this methodology are more aggressive than those of our bold, base and bullish scenarios,” Puelll said.

Despite this, the firm maintains Conservative assumptions in its base and bassist casesreflecting a balanced approach to market uncertainties.

The combination of institutional adoption, state support and corporate strategies position Bitcoin as an asset with a significant potential for the next decade.