Bitcoin will have a rapid recovery if the story is repeated

Global financial markets have felt the impact of the recent reduction of the United States credit rating by the Moody’s agency, and Bitcoin (BTC) has not escaped this turbulence.

Last week, the qualifier reduced the USA of the United States to AA1, a level that indicates a slight decrease in the country’s ability to fulfill its obligations Financial without significant risks.

This movement, by qualifying the world’s largest economy below the maximum AAA rating, has generated a chain reaction in traditional and Bitcoin markets.

However, BTC’s story suggests that not only will this fall be overcome, but will recover faster and with greater force than other assets.

Moody’s’s reduction: a blow to financial trust

Moody’s justified the reduction by citing a sustained increase in public debt ratios and the weight of interest, which have reached significantly higher levels than countries with similar grades.

The Federal Debt of the United States is 36 billion dollars. This is the total amount of slope loans from the Federal Government of the United States accumulated throughout the history of the Nation and It is projected that it increases by 156% by 2055.

Although Moody’s recognizes the economic and financial strengths of the United States, These do not compensate for the deterioration of tax indicatorsaccording to the qualifier, which now assigns a stable perspective.

The impact on the markets was immediate. The S&P 500 experienced a remarkable fall of 1.2%, while the performance of 30 -year treasure bonds exceeded 5%, reaching its highest level since November 2023.

In the digital asset market, 500 million dollars in derivative positions were settled. While Bitcoin experienced a fleeting rebound above $ 106,000only to go back to $ 103,000 in the current day, after having uploaded more than $ 2,500 in less than an hour.

This behavior reflects The high BTC correlation with traditional assets at times of macroeconomic uncertaintyas the analyst Daniel Muvdi points out: “Moody’s’s news will have an impact this week, although not necessarily serious. The key is on the federal reserve actions in the bond market and decisions about rates in June.”

Despite this initial reaction, the Treasury Secretary, Scott Besent, minimized the reduction, describing it as a “lagged indicator” in an interview last Saturday.

Besent attributed the decision to the Biden administration policieswhich promoted as investments in priorities such as climate change and medical care. However, the reduction has revived the debate on the fiscal sustainability of the United States, in a context in which Bitcoin tends to stand out.

Bitcoin as a value refuge: a narrative that resurfaces

Bitcoin’s correlation with traditional markets is undeniable in the short term, But his ability to disconnect and shine on his own merits distinguishes him.

Historically, BTC has demonstrated quick recoveries after falls driven by macroeconomic events, such as during the Covid-19 pandemic or this year’s tariff war.

At the moment, Bitcoin’s narrative as “digital gold” – a decentralized asset, scarce and resistant to inflation – becomes strength. The reduction of Moody’s, which highlights the fiscal fragility of the United States reinforces this perception.

As noted by the writer and investor Robert Kiyosaki, author of Padre Rico, poor father:

“Each crisis is bigger because the underlying problem, which began in 1971 with the exit of the gold standard, is not resolved. The best way to protect is saving gold, silver and real bitcoin, not ETF.”

Robert Kiyosaki, writer.

For kiyosaki, Bitcoin is a defense against the devaluation of Fíat currenciesan argument that resonates in times of fiscal uncertainty.

The institutional adoption of Bitcoin is a trust pillar

A key engine behind Bitcoin’s upward projection is the growing institutional and corporate adoption.

Bitcoin ETF in cash in the US are a clear indicator. The Ishares Bitcoin Trust (ibit) of Blackrock, the largest Bitcoin ETF in the world, increased its holdings from 575,810 BTC to 633.212 BTC in the last month. This represents a 10%increase, according to Bitcoin Treasuries data.

In contrast, other funds, such as the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF of Ark Invest, have reduced their positions, which highlights selective confidence in the asset. This accumulation by institutional actors reflects a long -term commitment to Bitcoin as a value reserve.

Companies are also adopting Bitcoin at an accelerated pace. Strategy (formerly Microstrategy), led by Michael Saylor, reported today that he acquired 7,390 BTC for 764.9 million dollars, raising his possession at 576,230 BTC, the largest reserve among the companies that quote on the stock market.

Also, new companies join the Strategy investment model. The company Digiasia, a Fintech that is quoted on the stock market, announced the creation of a Treasury reserve in BTC, allocating up to 50% of your net profits to the acquisition of digital asset and exploring a capital collection of up to 100 million dollars for this purpose.

These decisions They reinforce Bitcoin’s perception as a strategic asset in times of instability.

On-chain data reveal investor confidence in Bitcoin

On-chain data provide a solid technical basis for optimism. The capitalization made of Bitcoin, which measures the total value of all UTX reached a historical maximum of 906,000 million dollars on May 18, 2025.

This indicator reflects a sustained accumulation by investors. According to a report from the Cryptoquant analysis firm made by Carmelo Alemán, “if the trend of increase in capitalization continues, Bitcoin is very likely to exceed its historical maximum in the near future, preparing the stage for a historical bundle.”

Bitcoin has established for 10 days around the daily resistance of 104,731 dollars. Overcoming this level could open the road to $ 107,000, and analysts such as Joe Albano project a rally around $ 176,000, while David Zanoni points to $ 150,000 for October 2025.

The Spanish trader Oscar Ontañón, known as Santino Cripto, compares the current situation with the late 2020s, suggesting that Bitcoin could be at the gates of a five -month bullish run. “We are repeating an identical era,” he said, highlighting the potential of BTC and the Altcoins.

Macroeconomic factors and unique Bitcoin properties

Recent macroeconomic developments also favor Bitcoin. The commercial agreement of May 12, 2025 between the United States and China, which reduced tariffs to 30% and 10% respectively and established a high temporal fire of 90 days, has dissipated part of global uncertainty, as cryptootics reported.

This environment drives assets considered “risk” as Bitcoin. In addition, the intrinsic properties of BTC – his shortage (limited to 21 million units), resistance to censorship and unconiscability— They make it an attractive shelter against unsustainable fiscal policies or government interventions.

In addition, the discretion it offers, without being anonymous, allows users to protect their privacy, a valuable attribute in crisis.

An imminent and powerful recovery

The reduction of the United States credit rating has shaken the markets, and Bitcoin has felt the impact. However, its quick recovery history, backed by increasing institutional adoption, solid on-chain data and its narrative as digital gold, points to an imminent increase.

While traditional markets deal with fiscal uncertainty, Bitcoin is ready to capitalize on its unique position. The digital currency created by Satoshi Nakamoto will not only recover faster than other assets, but – if the story is repeated, as it usually does – it will do so with a force that It could take it in a few days or weeks to new historical maximums, consolidating its role as a pillar in the global financial panorama.

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