Bukele promotes bets on whether you reserve BTC from El Salvador will reach USD $ 1 billion this year

Bukele lights bets on whether Bitcoin’s reservations of El Salvador will reach USD $ 1 billion in 2025, with a seemingly ironic message regarding the plans in this area.

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• Nayib Bukele highlighted the bets in Kalshi About the future value of reserves Bitcoin of El Salvador.
  
• After your comment, the rival Polymarket It opened a similar market with even higher probabilities.
  
• The controversy for the official purchase figures of BTC despite communication with the IMP

The president of El Salvador, Nayib Bukele, put cryptocurrencies again in the center of the social networks debate. This time it was not with a purchase advertisement, but by highlighting the growing activity in prediction markets on the value of reservations Bitcoin that maintains the country.

On Wednesday, Bukele used his account in X to refer to Kalshi, a prediction platform based in the United States, which shows a significant increase in bets on whether reservations Bitcoin from El Salvador will reach a value of USD $ 1 billion towards the end of 2025.

In a enigmatic tone, the president commented: “I could do the funniest right now.” Its phrase coincided with a leap in the probabilities that the USD mile Kalshi.

Rivalry between Kalshi and Polymarket

The effect of Bukele’s words was swift. Shortly after your message, Polymarket, Another well -recognized decentralized betting platform introduced a contract with an identical prediction. In this, the probability that reservations Bitcoin Salvadorans exceed USD $ 1 billion by December 2025 reached 43%.

Kalshi had launched its market in mid -August, maintaining relatively stable percentages: 24% to reach the goal before December and 18% before November. The sudden jump after the presidential mention caused the figures to be adjusted, stabilized by 27% and 35% respectively.

The dynamic shows how the interaction between politics and digital markets can accelerate trends and capture the attention of investors and enthusiastic crypt at the international level.

A bet with political and economic background

El Salvador adopted Bitcoin As legal tender in 2021, a movement that attracted praise and criticism. The possibility that the country’s reserves reach USD $ 1 billion has become a symbolic indicator of the viability of that strategy.

However, the lack of transparency around the official purchases of BTC It has generated doubts. In July 2024, the president of the Central Reserve BankDouglas Pablo Rodríguez Fuentes, and the Minister of Tax authorities, Jerson Rogelio Posada Molina, communicated to International Monetary Fund (IMF) that the country had stopped buying Bitcoin After signing a loan of USD $ 1.4 billion.

Despite this, both Bukele and the Bitcoin National Office They continued spreading messages on social networks about cryptocurrency acquisitions. According to the official portal, The Government of El Salvador currently maintains 6,282 BTC, valued at approximately USD $ 709 million with a price of Bitcoin A USD $ 112,025 per unit.

Controversies and actors in silence

The debate on the true dimension of reserves remains open. Cointelegraph He informed that, to date, nor Juan Carlos Reyes, president of the National Commission of Digital Assets of El Salvadornor other authorities contacted have offered clear statements about discrepancy between reports to IMP and Bukele’s messages.

The controversy has not stopped the enthusiasm of prediction platforms. In fact, its popularity is on the rise. Toni gemayel, exejecutive both Polymarket as of Kalshi, recently announced that his new firm Clearing Company raised USD $ 15 million of investors, including Coinbase Ventureswith the aim of expanding prediction markets in financial sectors.

Attention to El Salvador, which once focused exclusively on the pioneering decision to adopt Bitcoin, Now it is extended towards the effects of that bet on the global panorama of cryptocurrencies, where speculation, politics and economy are intertwined quickly.

Written article with the help of an AI content editor, edited by Angel Di Matteo / Diariobitcoin

Original image of Diariobitcoin, created with artificial intelligence, for free use, licensed under public domain.

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