CITI visualizes Bitcoin at USD $ 135,000 for the end of the year – USD $ 199,000 in the best stage

By Hannah Pérez

Bitcoin to USD $ 135,000, $ 199,000 or $ 64,000 – on the worst scenario, according to Citi. The Wall Street bank shares three price scenarios for this year based on adoption, ETF flows and macro factors.

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• CITI provides that Bitcoin reaches $ 135,000 at the end of 2025 in its base case.
• In the bearish case, a fall to the USD $ 64,000 estimates.
• Bank analysis is based on adoption, ETF flows and macro factors.
• Its bullish objective coincides with that of other analysts such as Standard Chartered.

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Citigroupbetter known as Citione of the main investment banks and financial services of Wall Street, has shared a detailed prognosis on the price of Bitcoin (BTC) by the end of 2025, according to a recent report covered by COINDESK.

In your analysis, Citi presents three price scenarios for Bitcoin At the end of the year: A USD $ 135,000 base scenario, a USD $ 199,000 bullish scenario and a USD $ 64,000 bearish scenario.

The base price objective would imply a growth of 40% since last December, when Bitcoin It was around USD $ 95,000 amid the acceleration of a broader bullish trend, indicating confidence in the strength of the cryptocurrency market. The USD $ 135,000 level would also exceed the maximum historical price of USD $ 123,000, seen at the beginning of the month.

These forecasts reflect the changing dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, integrating from technological and financial factors to macroeconomic, and highlighting the growing influence of the bags quoted in the stock market (ETF) of Bitcoin in cash Americans in the pricing action. Citi It bases its forecast on these three factors.

ETF flows will drive Bitcoin

Citi It bases its forecast on three main factors: adoption, macroeconomic conditions and ETF flows, according to coverage.

The core of its model is an adoption -based approach, which measures the activity of the users of Bitcoin. Analysts project a 20% increase in user growth For the second half of 2025, including both retail and institutional investors, which would justify a price of approximately USD $ 75,000 per BTC.

Macroeconomic conditions, such as the weak performance of shares and gold, subtract USD $ 3,200 at the base price, reflecting a potentially adverse economic environment. However, the most influential factor is ETF’s demand, with Citi estimating that USD $ 15 billion in additional flows will add USD $ 63,000 to the price, resulting in the USD $ 135,000 forecast.

From the approval of the ETFs of Bitcoin in cash in the United States in January 2024, these funds have represented more of the 40% of the recent BTC price variationconsolidating them as a key market engine, according to the report.

The ETF of Bitcoin The counted have accumulated tickets for almost USD $ 55 billion since their debut, with the administrators Blackrock, Fidelity, Bitwise, Grayscale and others have managed to knead USD $ 154.4 billion in assets under management.

Citi coincides with others in his upward case

Citi It emphasizes that the risks of your prognosis are rough biased, driven by stronger ETF flows than expected and a more persistent user activity than modeled. However, it also warns about the possibility of a correction, with the USD $ 64,000 bearish scene linked to a weak stock market or less investor confidence.

At the opposite end, The uprising case of Citi coincides with the projection of USD $ 200,000 that analysts of Standard Chartered and Bernstein They have shared for the end of the year.

In other forecasts, the CEO of Galaxy DigitalMike Novograph, recently said that Bitcoin It could reach $ 150,000 this year, while Arthur Hayes has pointed much higher with a prediction of USD $ 250,000.

In conclusion, Citi emphasize that the price trajectory of Bitcoin In 2025 it depends on both capital allocation strategies and institutional flows and technological adoption. This approach reflects the growing integration of Bitcoin In traditional finance, positioning it as a key asset in institutional investors portfolios and marking a milestone in the maturity of the crypto market.

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Article written with the help of AI, by Hannah Pérez / Diariobitcoin

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