Kalshi exceeds Polymarket after registering USD $ 1.3 billion in monthly volume of operations
Kalshi advances to the first place in the global prediction market with a record monthly volume, surpassing Polymarket and consolidating as the main regulated platform in the US.
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- Kalshi reaches USD $ 1.3 billion in monthly volume, a record since 2024
- Polymarket seeks to relaunch operations in the USA and attract investors
- Prediction and cryptocurrencies are merged with sports and macroeconomic bets
Kalshi, The American predictions platform crosses one of its best months in almost a year. According to data disseminated by the company itself, reviewed by The block, It currently represents 62.2% of the global volume of the prediction market, compared to 3.1% registered a year ago. With these figures, the volumes recorded by its nearest competitor, Polymarket, which is trying to enter the US market, would be exceeding.
According to the reports, the monthly volume of Kalshi So far this month, it amounts to USD $ 1.3 billion, significantly higher than USD $ 773 million of its rival Polymarket.
The last time the service exceeded USD $ 1 billion was in November 2024, during the United States elections. Although the month does not conclude and Polymarket could recover land, the analysis suggests that the trend favors Kalshi.
The CEO of Kalshi, Tarek Mansour, said in a statement that “It is remarkable to see how fast it is growing” The platform. This growth reinforces the perception that prediction services not only survive electoral cycles, but also diversify in new market niches, such as macroeconomic decisions and professional sports.
Competition with Polymarket and different profiles
Polymarket and Kalshi They are positioned today as the main referents of the prediction market. Both allow users to bet on results of specific events, but with different approaches.
As to Polymarket, It is a decentralized and crypto-national platform that has sought to return to the US market after its 2022 agreement to restrict users in that country. In that process, he acquired the derivatives bag Qcex, aiming to comply with regulations and expand its scope.
Kalshi, Instead, it operates as a regulated service in the United States. Recently, he has advanced to align with the crypto ecosystem, integrating with popular chains such as Solarium and Base. This strategy aims to capture both traditional users and new segments interested in blockchain and digital assets.
Predictions and new market niches
The analysts of Bernstein They argue that prediction platforms have become a new interface for information, where cryptocurrencies, artificial intelligence and news converge. Companies like Coinbase and Robinhood They also explore this segment, seeking to attract users interested in bets on results of sporting events in professional leagues such as the NFL Sports bets in the US already represent a multi -million dollar and rapid growth business.
Users not only bet on sports, but also in corporate quarterly reports, relevant tax decisions and cryptocurrency prices. Bernstein He stressed that more than USD $ 200 million were negotiated in Polymarket and USD $ 85 million in Kalshi On the decision of the Federal Reserve to cut 25 basic points in interest rates. This reflects how platforms diversify their offer to capture macroeconomic and financial trends.
Investors are also closely following the performance of these companies. Recent reports indicate that Polymarket Evaluate a new financing round with a valuation between USD $ 9,000 and $ 10,000 million. Kalshi, For its part, it would be close to closing a round that could place its valuation in USD $ 5,000 million. These figures suggest that the prediction market is consolidated as a new investment niche with high growth potential.
Article written by a content editor. Edited by Angel Di Matteo / Diariobitcoin
Original image of Unspash
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