Norwegian authorities investigate possible leak after bets in Polymarket on the Nobel Peace Prize

He Nobel Prize Committee Norwegian investigates a possible leak of information, this after bets on the Polymarket platform on the winner of the Nobel Peace Prize 2025 will be shot hours before the official announcement. The winner was the Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machadorecognized for her fight for democracy in her country.

According to decentralized betting site records Polymarket, The value of Machado’s holdings suddenly increased shortly after midnight in Norway. This movement coincided with the moment in which the five-member committee had already made its final decision, according to local media reports cited by Bloomberg.

Suspicions of a leak in the Nobel Committee

The director of the Nobel Institute, Kristian Berg Harpvikenstated that this is a serious matter. “It seems that we have fallen prey to a criminal actor who seeks to profit from internal information,” He declared by telephone when consulted by the Norwegian press.

Harpviken explained that the committee is analyzing internal records and communications to determine how the winner’s name may have been leaked before the official announcement, which was made Friday morning in Oslo. He assured that the secret of the process is “of utmost importance” and recalled that no similar cases have been recorded in the last fifteen years.

Norwegian media TOftenposten and Finansavisen were the first to report the unusual activity in Polymarket. According to their findings, three accounts placed concentrated bets on Machado, recording profits together of approximately USD $90,000.

Among the players, an account stood out under the pseudonym dirtycup, who bet around USD $70,000.00 just a few hours before the announcement. According to the data of Polymarket, The user had created his account at the beginning of the month and had never participated in other markets. His final profit was close to USD $30,000.00.

The Norwegian authorities are considering the possibility of requesting international collaboration, given that transactions in Polymarket They are carried out using cryptocurrencies and under anonymity. He Nobel Institute He did not rule out that the case be referred to the security forces if improper use of confidential information is confirmed.

Polymarket and its connection with Wall Street

The controversy occurs a few days after Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE), owner of the NYSE, announced an investment of USD $2 billion in Polymarket, valuing the company at about USD $8 billion.

The platform allows users to bet on the results of real events: from elections and economic decisions to the performance of artists such as Taylor Swift. However, it has been criticized for offering markets in ethically questionable topics, such as predictions about the health of public figures.

Polymarket agreed on 2022 stop its services to users in the United States after an agreement with regulators, since it did not have official registration as a betting house. At that time, its founder Shayne Coplan was investigated by FBI, although the case was filed after the change of government in Washington.

During the presidential elections of 2024, Polymarket handled more than USD $3 billion in betting, consolidating itself as the main prediction market based on Blockchain.

The Institute Nobel, Meanwhile, he insists that the current incident could be an isolated case, but that he will investigate “thoroughly” any possibility of corruption or improper access to confidential information.

“For us, the secrecy of the process is essential. We must understand what happened”Harpviken reiterated.

Article written with the help of an AI content writer, edited by Angel Di Matteo / DailyBitcoin

Original image from DiarioBitcoin, created with artificial intelligence, free to use, licensed under Public Domain

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