Pessimistic feeling surrounds Bitcoin with merchants anticipating fall to USD $ 100,000

By Hannah Pérez

Bitcoin sales options in Derive At USD $ 95ky $ 80K levels are increasing, suggesting that operators prepare for a price back. Also in Polymarket Bitcoin bets are bassists.

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• Will Bitcoin go below USD $ 100,000? That anticipates option merchants.
• BTC puts at exercise prices of USD $ 95ky $ 80K shoot in derive.
• Option data show that operators seek protection for possible fall.
• In Polymarket, BTC bets are also bassists, with probabilities of more than 50%.

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The feeling in the cryptocurrency market is becoming pessimistic now that bets on a possible setback in the price of Bitcoin (BTC) below the USD $ 100,000 threshold are increasing.

Cryptocurrency Options Platform data Derive show that operators are adopting a bearish position for options for Bitcoin Expired at the end of August, with a greater demand for sale options than purchase.

The open interest in sale options (Puts) for BTC is almost five times greater than in purchase options (Calls), with an approach concentrated in the USD levels $ 95,000 and USD $ 80,000, according to the equipment of Derive In X.

Options Traders Are Bracing for A Rough August:

BTC: Puts 5x Calls, Heavy at $ 95k/$ 80k Strikes

Eth: Puts> Calls, vol esprad vs btc widens to 30%

25% chance eth <$ 3k

18% chance btc <$ 100k

Volatility Compression Could Break Hard.

– Derive (@derivexyz) August 6, 2025

The options are derived financial contracts that give the buyer the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset (in this case, Bitcoin) at a specific price (called exercise price) before a specific expiration date.

There are two main types of options: Calls and Puts. One option of Purchase o Call grants the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at the exercise price before or on the expiration date, while an option of sale or Put grants the buyer the right to sell the underlying asset at the exercise price before or on the expiration date.

Traders buy Calls When they anticipate that the price of the asset will rise above the year price, since this allows them to buy at a lower price and benefit from the difference and seek Puts When price drops anticipate.

Merchants protect themselves to possible fallcoin fall

Derive’s research director, Dr. Sean Dawson, told The Block that the platform has seen an increase in demand for Puts facing Calls for Bitcoin Expired on August 29, indicating a bassist feeling in the market

According to the report, the open interest in sale options is almost five times higher than in purchase options, with approximately half concentrated in the USD $ 95,000 strike and another quarter around USD $ 80,000 and $ 100,000. This suggests that operators are anticipating a setback and seek strategies to protect themselves from the strong price drop.

Meanwhile, in the main centralized exchange of derivatives, Delibitshort -term sales options for BTC are more expensive than purchase, indicating concerns for price drops.

Bitcoinwhich reached a historical maximum of USD $ 123,000 last month, has become bassist in recent days, after the officials of the US Federal Reserve. UU. They decided to keep interest rates without change during their July meeting.

Economic uncertainty and concern for persistent inflation are leading operators to protect themselves against possible risk assets such as cryptocurrencies; and Bitcoin It is not the only.

Ethereum (Eth) is another that faces a bassist inclination, although less pronounced, With operators anticipating moderate correction towards $ 3,000, according to options. ETH sales options exceed purchase by 10%, with interest concentrated in exercise prices of USD $ 3,200, USD $ 3,000 and USD $ 2,200, reported The Block.

Polymarket users are also bassists

The data seem to align with bets in the prediction market Polymarketwhere users have increased to more than 50% the chances that the price of Bitcoin fall to five figures before the end of the year.

A contract in Polymarket entitled “Will Bitcoin fall below $ 100,000 before 2026?”A inclination towards yes, with a 54% probability for that response. The bets have increased 7% in the last week, with just over USD $ 554,000 deposited in that contract.

Macroeconomic factors, including recent data on unemployment growth in the US that suggest an economic deceleration in the country, together with the monetary policy of the Fed and the fear of inflation, are strongly influencing the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, which has motivated operators to prepare before a possible deep fall in prices.

BTC is around USD $ 113,800 at the time of writing these lines, 3.2% lower in the week, according to data from Coingckowhile ETH stands at USD $ 3,588 reflecting a broader drop of 1.2% in the day and more than 4% in the week.

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Article written with the help of AI, by Hannah Estefanía Pérez / Diariobitcoin

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