XRP will continue up to October, according to analyst

XRP began 2025, reaching in January a new historical maximum (ATH) of $ 3.39. However, he failed to maintain his performance and currently has difficulty recovering the level of $ 2.50.

Despite this correction, David Zanoni, an analyst at financial markets, maintains in his most recent report that the best could still be to come and projects that XRP could explode upwards in October. But before getting fully into his thesis, let’s make a brief review of why there were so many expectations with the cryptocurrency of Ripple Labs after achieving his ATH.

As Cryptonoticias reported, XRP reached $ 3.39 in the previous presidential assumption of Donald Trump. That increase was promoted, in part, by the campaign promises of the Republican leader to create a favorable regulatory framework for assets “Made in USA”(Acts in the United States, in Spanish). To this was added the expectation that an eventual change in the administration allows resolving the legal conflict between Ripple Labs and the Bag and Securities Commission (SEC).

The legal battle began 4 years ago, when the agency that Gary Gensler was driving at that time demanded the firm for XRP sales through exchanges to finance company activities. In its presentation, the SEC argued that the asset was a value title (Security) not registered and that is why its sale was prohibited.

After an extensive battle, on May 8, the parties reached an agreement, a significant advance for the resolution of the demand. However, the market had already discounted that resolution after the departure of Gensler from the SEC, so The news It did not have a great impact on XRP’s price.

At the time of the publication of this note, the price of the cryptocurrency is $ 2.30, 32% below its ATH.

However, as Zanoni describes, historically Bitcoin ATH (BTC) usually promotes Altcoins’ performance as XRP. “BTC is likely to be entering the parabolic phase of this Halving cycle. XRP and other Altcoins tend to follow BTC’s trend well during its upward markets. In addition, XRP has several catalysts that could boost its price in the coming months,” he says.

The projection that Zanoni makes is based on the duration of the upward markets, from the minimum of the cycle to its peak. “The last two BTC cycles lasted exactly 1,064 days, while the former extended a little more, with 1,148 days. If the current cycle maintains this temporary consistency, then October 2025 would be the estimated time to reach its price peak,” he says.

In addition, he says: “This could point out the beginning of the parabolic phase of the post-halving cycle of Bitcoin, where great profits are usually given in a matter of a few months. This theory is backed by the strong green candles of April and May, as well as by the rupture towards a new historical maximum.”

What is pointed out here is that Bitcoin could be entering the most accelerated stage of its market cycle, which usually occurs after the halving, the BTC reducing event. Having less supply and more demand, a parabolic phase is generated where the price is triggered in a few months.

And what is the relationship with XRP? The relationship exists because, generally, when the currency created by Satoshi Nakamoto has a good performance, optimism in the market expands and Wake up the appetite of investors for risk. Therefore, Zanoni raises:

“It is reasonable to expect the price of XRP to follow the BTC ascending movement, based on previous cycles. XRP tends to show very marked price oscillations in each cycle. Investors can benefit from these abrupt variations from the bottom to the peak of each cycle.”

David Zanoni, financial market analyst.

Here it is important to pause, because their words make something clear: while XRP behaves more as an asset for trading, Bitcoin is considered by many investors as “digital gold”. “Bitcoin acts as a long -term value reserve, since its price tends to increase over time,” he argues.

Zanoni also considers that XRP, along with other Altcoins, can be seen as a kind of “digital silver”, for its volatility and its speculative potential within each market cycle. However, there are several reasons why it is a concept is questionable, especially in the case of XRP.

Like gold, silver is a decentralized asset, which is not issued by any government or entity. In the case of XRP, it is quite the opposite. It has a high level of centralization because it depends on the decisions of Ripple Labs, which also controls a significant portion of the supply. For its part, the XRP Ledger Network operates with a selected validators system, which differentiates the difference from an open environment without owners, such as Bitcoin.

And the big catalyst? XRP ETF approval

As cryptootics has reported, companies such as Grayscale, Bitwise, Wisdomtree, 21Shares, Canary and Coinshares presented to the SEC requests to launch funds quoted in the stock exchange (ETF) of XRP. In this regard, Zanoni argues: “The launch of the ETFs could boost a rally in XRP, As the interest and visibility of the cryptoactive grows. These ETFs can attract more investors by offering a simple and accessible way to buy and sell XRP in traditional markets. ”

His enthusiasm contrasts with Mike Fay’s warning, financial market analyst, who said: “I would be cautious with XRP for ETF’s hopes. Very often, these catalysts end up being events of ‘Buy the rumor, sells the news’.”

To illustrate your approach, it gives as an example what is happening with the ETF of Ether (ETH), the native cryptocurrency of the Ethereum Network, which, since its launch, They have had a performance well below those of Bitcoin. This shows that the launch of these financial products is not a guarantee of success for the price of the asset.

On the closure of its report, Zanoni clarifies that “there is no guarantees that this theory is fulfilled” and, in addition, it highlights: “The price of XRP could significantly deviate from the behavior of BTC. It is also possible that BTC and other Altcoins are more favored by the market, which would make XRP lag Training vehicle ”.

And it is a successful clarification that invites its readers to investigate before making any financial decision, precisely for what it raises: XRP is a risk asset. In addition, the novelties that come from the issuing company do not necessarily have a direct impact on its price. For this reason, It will be essential that the macroeconomic context accompany so that the asset can shrink the gap that separates it from your ATH.

This occurs because financial speculators opt for a stable context for risk bets. Otherwise, they will place their holdings in instruments that generate less yields and are less exposed to market fluctuations, such as treasure bonds.

A sample that the macroeconomic context weighs more than the novelties of the ecosystem is that, despite the recent Ripple Labs ads (such as the adoption of Ripple Payments by different banking entities), the price of XRP has not reacted.

Although Ripple Payments offers regulatory advantages and allows to operate with both XRP and Fíat money, this solution is not exclusive or mandatory for its use, which limits the direct demand of the asset and reduces the impact that its alliances or expansions may have on its contribution. This also casts the promise that XRP would be “the cryptocurrency of the banks.”

In conclusion, any bullish projection for XRP will depend largely on a favorable macroeconomic environment that drives the appetite for risk.