The AVAX price rises with the explosive increase in the volume of DEX: analysis of reasons and strategies on September 23, 2025

By Canuto

Amid a 9.92% increase in the last 24 hours, Avalanche (AVAX) reaches USD $ 34.95 driven by a growing institutional demand and record volumes in Dex, attracting investors looking for opportunities in the scalable blockchain ecosystem. This analysis deepens the key catalysts, technical indicators and actionable strategies to navigate volatility.
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📈 AVAX rises 9.92% to USD $ 34.95 due to the demand for whales and institutional interest such as agriforce rebranding to Avax One.
🔍 Technical analysis: Overcompared RSI warns of pullback, but SMA-7 at $ 32.87 supports Momentum bullish.
💹 Fundamental: DEX volumes explode at $ 4B, gas per second record indicates strong on-chain adoption.
🛡️ Recommendation: Buy with 75% certainty; Accumulate in Dips under $ 32, Stop-Loss at $ 30.
⚠️ Strategies: Short term – Swing Trade; Long term – Hold for scalability L1.
Disclaimer: It is not an investment advice, Dyor.

This analysis does not constitute an investment council. Always carry out your own research and consider your objectives and financial situation before investing in cryptocurrencies.

Date: 2025-09-23

Executive summary

Avalanche (AVAX) has experienced a remarkable increase of 9.92% in the last 24 hours, reaching a price of USD $ 34.95 with a market capitalization of USD $ 14,760,000,000.

This upward movement occurs in the middle of a daily trading volume that exceeds USD $ 2,680,000,000, representing an increase of 194.52% compared to the average of 30 days.

The technical indicators show a positive momentum, with the price above the key mobile socks such as the SMA-7 in USD $ 32.87 and the SMA-50 in USD $ 26.03, suggesting a sustained upward trend.

However, the RSI indicates overcompra conditions, which could lead to a short -term correction.

Fundamental solids include an increase in on-chain activity, with volumes in Dex exceeding USD $ 4,000,000,000 and an average use of more than 25.1 million per second, the highest in 30 days.

The feeling of the market is positive, driven by institutional adoption news, such as agriforce rebranding to Avax One and a growing demand for whales.

Compared to pairs such as Solana or Ethereum, Avax stands out for its scalable L1 architecture and rapid consensus.

The main investment thesis is medium -term bullish, with projections that could see the asset exceeding the USD $ 36 if the momentum is maintained, although macro risks as a correlation with Bitcoin and regulatory volatility persist.

It is recommended to accumulate in DIPS below USD $ 32, with an approach to capital preservation through diversification.

Causes of recent movements

The increase of 9.92% in the price of AVAX in the last 24 hours is mainly attributed to an institutional and whale demand, according to Coindesk and Posts reports in X with high engagement.

A key factor is AGIFORCE rebranding to Avax One, with plans to accumulate a massive Treasury of Avax and attract tradfi and crypto advisors, which has generated enthusiasm in the market (Source: Decrypt via Coindesk).

In addition, Volumes in Dex in the C-Chain of Avalanche have exceeded USD $ 4,000,000,000, indicating a capital flow to leaders such as Henesys and Dexalot, according to posts verified in X.

The use of gas has reached 25.1 million peaks per second, reflecting an intense demand for block and institutional adoption (Source: Token Relations in X).

COINDESK News highlight a 8.9% leap in the Coindesk 20 index, led by Avax, with Near protocol following him closely.

These events have promoted the price from an opening of USD $ 31.68 to a maximum of USD $ 34.95, with a volume that doubles the recent average.

Negative hacks or regulations are not reported in the last 24 hours, which reinforces the positive momentum.

Price Action and Technical Analysis

The AVAX price has shown a bullish pattern, breaking the resistance in USD $ 34.19 and establishing a new intradic maximum at USD $ 34.95.

Today’s range, from USD $ 34.19 to USD $ 34.95, represents a variation of 2.21%, exceeding yesterday’s range of USD $ 30.46 to USD $ 34.19.

Key indicators include a RSI in 59.9, neutral but with a risk of overcompra if it exceeds 70, implying possible volatility and an opportunity for sale in short -term traders.

The MACD shows a bullish crossing, with the MacD line above the signal, suggesting upward momentum and recommending long entries above USD $ 33.

Mobile stockings such as SMA-7 in USD $ 32.87 act as immediate support; A rupture below could indicate a pullback to SMA-15 in USD $ 30.62, where Stop-Loss is advised.

Key resistances are at USD $ 36, based on Fibonacci extensions, while supports in USD $ 30 could offer accumulation points in DIPS.

Today’s volume, in USD $ 2,680,000,000, is 18.21% of capitalization, above the average of 6.18%, indicating strong buying conviction and lower expected volatility if it is maintained.

In summary, the technical analysis points below, with moderate volatility; Recommended outputs if RSI exceeds 70.

Fundamental analysis

The AVAX market capitalization is USD $ 14,760,000,000, with a circulating supply implicit in on-chain robust metrics.

On-chain metrics show high daily transactions, with volumes in DEX reaching USD $ 4,000,000,000, which implies increasing adoption and utility in defi.

The use of average gas of 25.1 million per second reflects active holders and demand for the rapid consensus of Avalanche, positioning it for scalability L1.

Partnerships as with Straitsx and institutional L1s improve its relative assessment, with a 97.80% ROI in 90 days exceeding many peers.

Compared to Ethereum, Avax offers faster and faster transactions, attracting capital flows.

The utility of the project in public and private networks suggests growth potential, although the non -specified SUPPLY requires monitoring for dilution.

Fundamentally, this implies sustained momentum, with opportunities for entry in future adoptions.

Trading signal evaluation

Based on the convergence of bullish technical indicators (such as MacD positive and price on SMA-50) and fundamental solids (record volumes and on-chain adoption), the recommendation is to buy with 75% certainty.

The reasoning is based on the increase of 9.92% driven by institutional demand, with neutral RSI indicating space for more increases before overcompra, and a volume that doubles historical averages suggesting conviction.

Alcista projections come to Avax reaching USD $ 40 if whale flows persist; bassists, a correction to USD $ 28 if Bitcoin falls; neutral, consolidation in USD $ 32-35.

Specific actions include accumulating under USD $ 32 and adjust Stop-Loss to USD $ 30 to mitigate risks.

This 75% certainty derives from the alignment of 80% technical indicators with on-chain metric, although macro factors as a correlation with BTC could adjust it.

Conclusions and investment strategies

In summary, Avax shows bullish force driven by adoption and on-chain activity, with risks in volatility and regulations.

For short -term investors, focus on swing trading: Buy in USD $ 32 supports and sell USD $ 36 resistance, using RSI for Timing.

In the medium term, Hold to capture updates L1, diversifying with 20% in AVAX.

In the long term, accumulate for scalability potential, pointing to Roi as 288.30% of 2 years.

Conservatives: limit exposure to 10% of the portfolio, use stop -los in USD $ 28 and monitor regulatory news.

Comparison with similar assets

Compared to Solana (Sol), Avax offers better scalability L1 with faster consensus, although Sol leads on TVL; Both exceed Ethereum in costs.

The 90 -day ROI of Avax (97.80%) exceeds that of peers, implying relative undervaluation.

Macro and regulatory risks

High correlation with bitcoin could amplify falls if BTC Corrige; PENDING REGULATIONS IN THE US OF DEFI represent bassist risks, suggesting hedging with Stablecoins.

This analysis does not constitute an investment council. Always carry out your own research and consider your objectives and financial situation before investing in cryptocurrencies.

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